Going - Good to soft
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Verdict
- Complete form
Willie Mullins is overdue some good fortune in this race (0-23) but others look on friendlier marks than Murcia and Sony Bill. Stencil (second choice) has been all the talk for this since his second in a Grade 2 here on Trials day, which he would have won by knocking on 20l were it not for the presence of Triumph favourite East India Dock. QUANTOCK HILLS had valid excuses when failing to fire in that same race and he was looking good here in December until he idled/hung when asserting on the run-in to gift Teriferma a share of the honours. Back in third that day was Total Look who, according to the betting, is one of Ireland's better chances this afternoon. Hot Fuss, Liam Swagger, Puturhandstogether, Beyond Your Dreams and, at lengthier odds, Ephesus are others to consider.[Alistair Jones]
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Next 5 UK & IRE Races:
| No. | Selection RP Rating | Previous odds | Price | SP |
Place Only 2 |
Place Only 3 |
Place Only 4 |
Insure 2 Places | Insure 3 Places | Insure 4 Places | Insure Faller | Betting Without | Betting Without | Betting Without | ||||||||||||||
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| 4 |
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11/2 5/1 | 11/2 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Spotlight :
Won two of his three races in France; beaten 10l in the end in a Grade 2 here on Trials day (New course) but he was the only one remotely to threaten Triumph favourite East India Dock and there was a long way back to the third; strong traveller who could benefit from the sharper test offered by the Old course and this mark might underestimate him; unraced on ground quicker than soft but his pedigree bodes well in that respect; big player.
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| 5 |
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9/2 | 11/2 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Progress on the Flat featured a 1m2f maiden win on good ground; has wasted no time in raising his profile as a hurdler and this Navan maiden winner pocketed valuable course experience when a rallying third behind dead-heaters Quantock Hills and Teriferma here in December (good to soft); beaten since in a Punchestown heavy-ground handicap won by Slurricane, but can jump better than he did that day and nothing was finishing stronger; has more scope than your typical ex-Flat 4yo; makes the shortlist in first-time headgear.
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| 18 |
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7/1 6/1 | 7/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Flat form hardly fills the eye but she was a 1m4f winner and has taken well to hurdling, getting off the mark last time at Fairyhouse (yielding) by narrowly repelling Slurricane; her jumping remains a cause for concern but she's closely matched with Total Look on their previous clash and Joseph O'Brien has successfully targeted this race (two wins since 2019); interesting with cheekpieces applied.
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| 6 |
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7/1 8/1 | 15/2 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
1m2f Flat winner; beat Turn And Finish in a big-field maiden at Cork (soft) and heavy ground was perhaps a factor in his reversal at Fairyhouse; needs to improve on this handicap debut but he's been a market mover this past week and represents a trainer who knows what's required for this.
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| 2 |
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10/1 12/1 | 11/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
A slow-burner in France where she took four goes to get off the mark; highly tried on stable debut but on another day (her jumping lacked fluency and she found trouble in running) she would surely have won a rated hurdle at Naas (in reapplied tongue-tie) last time that has thrown up four of the last six winners of this race; that promise has triggered a tough initial handicap mark and there's a bit to prove away from soft/heavy ground, but there's also a strong suspicion she has more to offer.
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| 21 |
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14/1 12/1 | 11/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Talented Flat performer and encouragingly as good as ever in a first-time visor (replacing cheekpieces) when winning a 2m AW handicap 17 days ago; his 4l second to leading Triumph hope East India Dock in October (good) now looks a really smart effort and, after winning well at Sandown (soft), he perhaps didn't fancy a foggy Chepstow when comfortably held in a Grade 2 over Christmas; consistent in the main and this streetwise 4yo can't be dismissed; blinkers are the choice of headgear this time.
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| 3 |
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12/1 11/1 | 12/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Promising French form but has had to settle for minor honours in two Graded races, both at Leopardstown, in Ireland and was unable to exploit a soft lead in the latest; lofty aspirations appear dashed for now and it's a struggle to consider this mark as lenient, but with Paul Townend committing to the cause there's good reason to believe he can raise his game; the return of a tongue-tie he wore in France could also be significant.
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| 23 |
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16/1 14/1 | 16/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Offered little on the Flat but a far superior hurdler and the form of her maiden win at Limerick (yielding to soft) has been well advertised by the runner-up; divided Slurricane and Total Look in a Punchestown handicap in January and that form brings her into the equation; cheekpieces worn the last twice are replaced by blinkers.
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| 1 |
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18/1 16/1 | 18/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Won a Leopardstown maiden at Christmas but he's badly handicapped with Total Look and Beyond Your Dreams who were ahead of him the run before, and at 25-1 he ran accordingly in a Grade 1 last time (soft); on the plus side, his yard has won this four times before and getting back on forecast drier ground has to be a good thing.
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| 9 |
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16/1 | 18/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Dead-heated for first with Teriferma here (good to soft) in December with Total Look a close third but travelled much the best of those and would have won outright had he not idled and hung left up the run-in; forget his damp squib of a run on Trials day (Grade 2; well behind Stencil) as he scoped dirty on returning home; he's a good looker with more to offer and the removal of a hood sported in his last three races might not be a bad move.
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| 10 |
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20/1 18/1 | 20/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Inferior Flat form to a few of these but he's making a name for himself over hurdles and has a similar profile to Quantock Hills (with whom he's closely matched on bare form), having looked on an upward curve until fading away in a Grade 2 here in January; that was his first time on soft ground (won on good and good to soft) so there's reason to believe he'll run better this time; the tongue-tie worn throughout over hurdles is joined by cheekpieces that he wore once on the Flat (finished sixth).
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| 13 |
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18/1 22/1 | 20/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Good Flat horse before embarking on his hurdling career and a recent winning stroll on the AW (long odds-on in new tongue-tie/cheekpieces combination) should have buoyed confidence levels; already has Listed honours over hurdles and he was conceding lumps of weight (and raced freely) when coming up shy on ground too soft at Newbury; today's bigger-field scenario could suit him and he's one of many with each-way claims.
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| 15 |
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20/1 22/1 | 20/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Second in two maidens before tipping up late on in a Listed race at Musselburgh (good to soft) when still in contention; shouldn't be long in winning but this looks out of his reach.
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| 7 |
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20/1 25/1 | 22/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Has shown likeable consistency on the Flat and over hurdles; gave Beyond Your Dreams a race in his final maiden before he had Out For A Stroll and Total Look behind when successful on his handicap debut at Punchestown (heavy; probably wants it quicker); an uncomplicated gelding who shouldn't be passed over lightly.
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| 11 |
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20/1 25/1 | 22/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Respectable Flat form in France and has shown promise over hurdles; pushed an unexposed Willie Mullins horse close at Naas and unlikely to have given his true running when favourite there a month ago (behind Murcia and Ephesus) in a race that's been a great guide to this; could yet have more in the locker and it would be foolish to put a line through his chance; first-time headgear.
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| 8 |
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33/1 28/1 | 25/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Conceded a lot of weight to Beyond Your Dreams when second to that horse in a 1m4f Flat handicap last September; however, although he's won a handicap already over hurdles, this is a different test altogether and Total Look is widely considered as the stable's principal hope.
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| 12 |
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25/1 | 28/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Placed in juvenile hurdles on final three runs for Joseph O'Brien but he made a right meal of justifying long odds-on favouritism on debut for this yard in a Catterick maiden (soft) and the runner-up is now 0-6 as a hurdler (well beaten since); Harry Derham can pull rabbits out of hats but this might be asking a bit much; tongue-tie and cheekpieces applied.
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| 14 |
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28/1 33/1 | 28/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
No great shakes on the Flat despite winning twice; Ballinrobe maiden winner over hurdles and ran well in defeat the last twice, with false starts not helping his cause last time at Musselburgh (Listed; good to soft) as it took a while to pull him up; others still appeal as more likely winners of this.
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| 17 |
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25/1 28/1 | 33/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
1-4 over hurdles in France where he also ran well in his sole chase; pulled up in the fog at Chepstow over Christmas (Grade 2; the only time he's not worn a tongue-tie) and isn't wildly appealing after coming up short at Ludlow (good to soft), for all that the winner is going places.
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| 24 |
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28/1 | 33/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Fairly useful on the Flat for Aidan O'Brien, winning over 1m4f in cheekpieces; ran his best race over hurdles in an always-informative race at Naas (soft) last time and his jumping could improve on this forecast drier ground; at lengthy odds he's worth a second look with reapplied cheekpieces added to the tongue-tie.
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| 16 |
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33/1 | 40/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Low-grade Flat winner over 1m6f; has soon raised his profile as a hurdler and, after chasing home good horses in two maidens (just behind Holy See in the first), he ran into another smart prospect in a Grade 3 at Naas; deserves his chance in a race of this nature and rates a lively outsider with the return to forecast better ground a likely plus (encountered soft/heavy so far over hurdles).
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| 20 |
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40/1 33/1 | 40/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Ex-French gelding; closely matched with Liam Swagger on November's Wetherby clash but hasn't made any striking progress in the meantime and his unfortunate departure in a Listed event at Musselburgh didn't cost him the race; subsequently sold out of Olly Murphy's yard for 38,000gns; placed at best if he's lucky.
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| 22 |
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33/1 | 40/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Useful on the Flat and in view of that he's been a tad underwhelming over hurdles, winning just one of his five races; took backward steps the last twice (with and without cheekpieces) and this is a tough race in which to bounce back; connections would appear to hold higher hopes with Liam Swagger.
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| 19 |
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40/1 | 50/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Had plenty of racing on the Flat; 2-7 over hurdles so he's more exposed than some of these, and heading here on the back of a fall is not ideal, though he was in the process of running well at Musselburgh (Listed race on good to soft) when taking that tumble; however, it goes against the grain to trust one with his profile in a race this competitive.
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1/5 Odds 5 Places |
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16 or more must run for 5 places 1/5 to be paid. 12 or more must run for 4 places 1/5 to be paid. In the event of 11 runners or less, standard EW terms will apply.
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