With Beautiful Love having failed twice this month to reproduce her superior US form, this may well be decided between exciting prospects Estrange and SHAHA who have had just seven races between them. David O'Meara's Estrange would have received the vote on soft ground and probably on good to soft, but her Gosden-trained rival appeared to score with a fair bit more in hand than the winning margin suggested in a 1m4f Listed race at Goodwood four weeks ago and that race was on good.[Richard Austen]
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4-5 strike-rate in Italy last season for Endo Botti, ending on the upgrade over 1m2f in the mud with a Group 3 win at San Siro and victory by 4l going away in Group 2 at Capannelle; however, she was 50-1 and well below form in York Group 2 (1m2f, good to firm) 16 days ago on debut for new yard; her usual tongue-tie (absent last time) returns.
Easily best form has been in the USA, including when a close fourth at the Breeders' Cup (1m3f, firm) in November; third of five to a short-priced stablemate at Newmarket (1m1f; 11-1) this month and hammered by the winner at York (1m2f) 11 days later in another Group 2; similar form chance to others if you take away the US performances.
Raised her game when stepped up to 1m4f for a Newmarket handicap win (good to soft; has won on good firm) last October; creditable sixth to Shaha in Listed race at Goodwood (1m4f, good) on return and may well have more to offer, but this Group 3 assignment demands big improvement.
Looked a class act when winning 1m2f Goodwood maiden (soft) on debut last August; only seventh at Yarmouth (good to firm) but scored readily with a strong finish in another 1m2f Listed event at Doncaster (soft) in November; 1m4f looks within range; set for better still this term and can make her mark in Group races but there's a question whether the ground will be soft enough.
Best form when front-running third of 11 in Listed race at Doncaster (1m2f, soft) last November on penultimate start, but Estrange took her measure in no uncertain style; has left Kevin Ryan (same owners) and needs improvement but she is worth a crack at 1m4f.
May have needed her reappearance four weeks ago but is also now tongue tied first time; clearly best efforts have been on soft or heavy going and even those do not look good enough to upset the best of these.
While showing plenty of ability in her three runs last season, she was markedly better to win ten-runner Listed race at Goodwood (1m4f, good) four weeks ago and did it with authority from off the pace; carries her head rather high but capable of better and probably a Group-race winner in waiting.
1/5 Odds Place 1,2,3
( Pool guide displayed could change before the race starts & should be used as a guide only )
